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Please use Exponential Smoothing method to forecast the first two month consumption of coffee in 2013, Jan and Feb .

This question refers to the same data in previous question (coffee consumption), see Sheet 2. Please answer the following questions.

  1. Please use Exponential Smoothing method to forecast the first two month consumption of coffee in 2013, Jan and Feb . Show your answer in the corresponding spreadsheet. Notice that you should use Solver to determine the optimal value of Alpha, where the optimal Alpha minimizes the MSE. (10pts)
  2. What is the optimal value of Alpha? (2 pts)
  3. What is the corresponding MSE using this method? (3pts)
  4. Compare this Exponential Smoothing method with the 3-month Moving Average method in the previous question. Briefly discuss which method is better and why. (5
A C D G H Year Month Time Peri Coffee Consum Exponentila Smoothing Forecasts Jan 1 Alpha 2 2010 3.811 Feb 2 3.736 Mar 3 3.565
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